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European Banks: Be Mindful of Risks in 2017
European banks seem to be on an upward trajectory – although improvements are likely to come at a slow pace[…]
Warm Weather Distortions in US Economic Data
November 2015 ranked as the 25th warmest November in the last 121 years. A warm spell like this can wreak[…]
Japan: 5 Reasons to Be Optimistic Despite the Demographics
Despite Japan's demographic challenges, I see several significant bright spots which bode well for the future.
Crude Oil: The Bane of a Commodity Trader’s Existence
Oil traders everywhere probably had their fingers crossed that oil’s craziest trading days would not persist into the New Year.
US Housing: Prices Driven Up By Limited Construction & Strong Demand
Single family construction presents a puzzle: with the economy in the seventh year of expansion, why has home construction remained[…]
Oil Outlook for the Remainder of 2016
I believe oil prices will likely remain under pressure through the end of the year. There has been exceptional growth[…]
Shale: Producers Get Religion, But Uncertainty Remains
The answer to a fundamental question is becoming clearer: US oil production is likely going to be down dramatically in[…]
China: Rising Risks Posed by Shadow Banking
Non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), which typically operate with less regulatory oversight compared to banks, have existed in China for decades.
BB-Rated Bank Loans Can Make It Better: Reducing Volatility, Drawdown Risk
Our bank loan team has long believed that BB-rated bank loans can be very attractive to asset allocators who wish[…]
The US Auto Industry: Have Sales Peaked?
After six consecutive years of growth, it looks like sales in the US auto industry may have peaked.
Equity Earnings: Where Will We Run in 2017?
The burning question for equity investors is: what will happen to earnings in 2017?
Boring Ol’ TIPS – Not So Boring Now
TIPS seem to be en vogue. Why the interest in this relatively unexciting, high-quality asset class?
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